Shot from ABC TV series Eli Stone 

The new ABC tv series Eli Stone deals with some serious issues—most importantly the question of whether our time is a congenial one for religious truths. Central to the story is the premise that the title character may actually be a religious prophet.

The main evidence for this startling proposition is in the visual and auditory hallucinations he experiences. The show gives a natural explanation—he has an inoperable brain aneurysm—but as an acupuncturist points out later in the narrative, the natural cause of the visions does not explain the content of the visions, which included insights that Eli cannot possibly have come upon through natural means.

Hence, the narrative insists, there must be some supernatural intervention involved. And of course the protagonist’s name suggests as much: Eli, from the Old Testament Elijah and several other names, and Stone, from Peter (Petra, the Rock) in the New Testament.

Like most ABC fiction series, Eli Stone incorporates these strongly fantastic and melodramatic elements in a largely realistic narrative shot in a style based on Italian neorealism updated for color film and American sensibilities. It’s visually bright, cheery, crowded, and energetic. The visual style makes the strange material seem more plausible, conveying the TV equivalent of literary magical realism.

The main plotline deals with a contemporary issue, as is also common in ABC series. As lawyer for a plaintiff suing a pharmaceutical company, the title character comes upon proof that the firm’s vaccines cause autism. He springs it in court, and ultimately wins the case.

The notion that vaccines are responsible for autism is a very bad rumor to be spreading, because creating false fear in parents about vaccine safety will leave numerous children prey to infectious diseases that could easily be prevented.

In this case, irrational fears can condemn children to needless suffering and death.

There is a very simple explanation for the facts of the case. The mother noticed that her child was acting differently a week after the vaccination; he turned from a normal boy to an increasingly autistic one. The obvious explanation is that the two events were not causally related but instead were mere coincidence.

The intuitively obvious question, of course, is how this could be just a coincidence. The problem is that the question arises from a logical error known as the fallacy of special pleading. Instead of looking at one case in isolation, or even a few, causal proof requires that the effect be repeated in controlled circumstances. Yet that is not what happened in this case, and coincidence is not only possible but likely.

The reality is that hundreds of thousands of children across the country getting vaccines every year, and that thousands of children are discovered to be autistic every year. It’s obvious that in numerous cases, then, children who are vaccinated will be discovered to be autistic soon afterwards.

It’s a simple matter of numbers. With enough instances of two different things happening to people, a great many will come in close temporal proximity and seem to have a causal relationship. But they’re quite unrelated. The child’s condition is indeed tragic, but there’s no reason at all to suspect that a vaccine caused it, any more than that milk, peanut butter, or sunshine is at fault. 

What is worse is that the episode equates this belief with faith in God. I should hope I needn’t point out that such a claim is absurd, for the two things are of entirely different orders. We know nature solely by knowing nature: the more we know about it, the more we understand its workings. Hence, anything inconsistent with what we know about nature cannot be accepted as a premise for action. And our way of understanding nature is by testing it. Faith does not enter into it.

Our belief in God is also based on our understanding of nature, but is of a different order entirely, for it is not testable. Neither belief nor unbelief is provable in this world. Each is a leap of faith. (Note that point carefully: disbelief in God is just as much a leap of faith—we may call it a leap of unbelief—as is belief in God. Neither is provable in scientific terms.) One either accepts God, or one doesn’t. What we call faith is really just the fundamental prism through which we see all that we experience.

Eli Stone does get that part right, even if Eli Stone the lawyer doesn’t. An acupuncturist tells him, "There are two explanations for everything: the scientific and the divine." The healer makes the point that one chooses either to believe in God or not, and it is at the very least an equal choice, with the evidence allowing for one to hold either position reasonably.

The acupuncturist actually suggests that belief in God has a stronger cae, and I fully agree with him. In any case, to see a TV program deal with this issue in this way is quite appealing. It’s too bad the producers had to tie it to a poor understanding of a political issue, but at least they seem to have gotten the big issue right—so far.